The Impact Of Climate Change On Nigeria’s Agricultural Output. An Overview

Studienarbeit , 2020 , 48 Seiten , Note: 1

Geowissenschaften / Geographie - Meteorologie, Aeronomie, Klimatologie

This study investigates the impact of climate change on agricultural output in Nigeria economy within the period of 1986 to 2017.

The study employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). The study examined the impact of climate change on Nigeria’s agricultural output. Investigated the existence of longrun relationship between climate change and agricultural outputs in Nigeria, examined the direction of causation between climate change and economic growth in Nigeria. From the findings it was discovered that one year lag value of carbon emission is highly significant, and it is positively related to agricultural output in the short run and long run. It was also discovered that one year lag of rainfall is negatively related to agricultural output and it is insignificant. Furthermore, it was also revealed that one year lag of temperature is positively related to agricultural output, meaning there is a positive relationship between agricultural output and temperature in Nigeria.

The study therefore recommended that it is necessary for the government and other relevant authorities to constantly provide information on rainfall distribution ahead of time to help the farmers plan. And also recommended that government should ensure appropriate temperature information most especially there is need that various agricultural output needs to put into consideration.

Table of Contents

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
1.1Background to the Study
1.2 Statement of Problem
1.3 Research Questions
1.4 Objective of the Study
1.5 Hypothesis of the Study
1.6 Significance of the Study
1.7 Scope and Limitation of the Study
1.8 Organization of the study

CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Conceptual Literature
2.1.1 Climate Change
2.1.2 Agriculture
2.1.3 Output
2.2 Agriculture and the Nigerian Economy
2.3 Climatic Condition in Nigeria
2.4 Carbon Emission in Nigeria
2.5 The Issue of Global Emission and the Nigerian Ecosystem
2.6 The Effects of Global Climate Change on Nigeria Agricultural
2.7 Theoretical Literature Review
2.7.1 Theory Ricardian Cross Section Model
2.7.2 Agra-economic Models (Crop Simulation Models)
2.7.3 Agro-Ecological Zone (AEZ) Models
2.8 Empirical Literature Review
2.9 Theoretical framework of Study
2.10 Gaps in Literature

CHAPTER THREE :METHODOLOGY
3.1 Types and Sources of Data
3.2 Method of Estimation
3.3. Model Specification
3.4 Evaluation Criteria
3.4.1 Unit Root Test
3.4.2 Co-integration Test
3.4.3 Granger Causality Test

CHAPTER FOUR: PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS of DATA
4.1 Result Presentation
4.1.1 Stationarity Test Result
4.1.2Co-integration Test Result(s)
4.2 Granger Causality Test Result
4.3 Autoregressive Distributed Lag Estimates
4.3.1 Bound Test Result
4.3.2 Stability Test
4.4 Policy Implication of Finding

CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary
5.2 Conclusion

REFERENCES

APPENDIX

• Hochschule: Kogi State Polytechnic
• Veranstaltung: Economics
• Note: 1
• Autor: Ugboja Onuche Gideon (Autor:in)
• Erscheinungsjahr: 2020
• Seiten: 48
• Katalognummer: V984473
• ISBN (eBook): 9783346364036
• ISBN (Buch): 9783346364043
• Sprache: Englisch
• Schlagworte: Climate Change, Agriculture, Nigeria's Economy, Rainfall in Nigeria, Farming